Most picks
are noise.We curate
the few.

Wheelhouse Week 5 card featuring Woody Marks: rushing yards under 34.5 at -115

We track every pick from dozens of picks sellers, analytics companies and models, find the cohorts that are actually winning, and send you only the few that make the cut.

01 / The model review

Numbers. Not noise.

Our Model Results

78–21

78.8%WIN RATE
WEEKS 1–4 / 2026
Bets reviewed
99
Average odds
-111

99 bets, Weeks 1–4 of 2026, flat 1-unit stakes at the workbook’s listed odds. Calculated from the supplied retrospective worksheet, not independently verified against original postings or game results. Original posting times and event dates were not supplied. This is not Wheelhouse’s live pick record. Past results don’t guarantee future results. Your results depend on the odds you get and how much you bet. You can lose money. See every pick →

Source workbook

Hard Rock’s last line and price before kickoff, −130 or better. Receiving and rushing-yards lanes require agreement from 2 of 3 comparison sites; QB rushing-attempt unders have no site filter.

Cohort win rates

01 / COHORT

RB/TE receiving unders

89%25–3
28 bets

02 / COHORT

Rushing yards unders

83%10–2
12 bets

03 / COHORT

WR/TE receiving overs

79%26–7
33 bets

04 / COHORT

QB rush attempt unders

65%17–9
26 bets

99 retrospective bets, Weeks 1–4 of 2026, flat 1-unit stakes at the worksheet’s odds. Not independently verified; not Wheelhouse’s live record. Small cohort samples. Past results don’t guarantee future results. Your results depend on the odds you get and how much you bet. You can lose money. See every pick →

Retrospective model results by group and individual cohort
CohortRecordWin %
RB/TE receiving unders25–389%
· RB rec yds unders11–285%
· RB receptions unders7–188%
· TE rec yds unders4–0100%
· TE receptions unders3–0100%
Rushing yards unders10–283%
· WR rush yds unders4–180%
· RB rush yds unders6–186%
WR/TE receiving overs26–779%
· WR rec yds overs4–180%
· WR receptions overs11–379%
· TE receptions overs8–373%
· TE rec yds overs3–0100%
QB rush attempt unders17–965%

Small samples. Several individual cohorts have fewer than 10 bets; read the counts alongside the percentages.

The method

We track everything.
We send a few.

We follow every pick from dozens of picks sellers, analytics companies and models, and grade every one of them. We know which sources are on form, which conditions are winning right now, and which lines are priced right. And we never send a pick we wouldn't bet ourselves. That's the job we do.

I.

Track everything.

We track every pick from [N] picks sellers, analytics companies and models, at the price they posted. AI reviews and grades each source's full history, the same way we grade our own.

II.

Know what's working.

A cohort is a group of picks that share the same conditions. Across every source, we find the cohorts that are winning right now, and pass on the rest.

III.

Find the right price.

We compare lines across every major sportsbook and take the best number. At −110 you need 52.4% to break even. At −120, 54.5%.

IV.

Only send what we'd bet.

Only the strongest few make the card, and we bet every one of them ourselves, at the odds listed with the pick.

Scouting board

Everybody's an expert until you track their picks.

So we scout them. We grade every pick from [N] picks sellers, analytics companies and models exactly the way we grade ours: one unit per pick, every pick counted, no deleted losses. Same weeks. Same rules.

See the full board →
SourcePicksWin rateUnitsROI
Wheelhouse0———
Best expert we track————
Median expert we track————
Breakeven at ———0.00.0%

Same weeks, same grading. Expert rows fill in from our tracking, built from each expert's publicly posted picks. Past results only.

The record fills in as our first picks are graded. Every pick will be public. See every pick →

The Short List

Last week's Short List, graded.

Every pick comes with provenance: when we posted it, the price we bet, where it closed, and how it turned out. Losses included.

The Short List

Week of [date]

No graded Short List picks yet. The first card shows up here once its games start.

This week's card lands [day].

Pricing

Two ways in.

Original ink drawing of an empty football locker room with benches and equipment

THE SHORT LIST · COMPLIMENTARY

Free

  • — Our 2 best bets, every week
  • — Sent by email
  • — The full public record
Get The Short List

FULL SLATE · MEMBERS

$97/week

  • — Every pick that makes the cut, usually 20–40 a week
  • — The odds we bet, listed with every pick
  • — Everything in The Short List
  • — Cancel anytime from your account

$97 billed every 7 days until you cancel. Cancel online anytime.

Picks are information, not guarantees. You can lose money betting. 21+.

The private room

That's our wheelhouse.

No bullshit. No locks. No firehose.

We don't think of ourselves as gamblers. We're pick curators. We track everything the experts put out, keep only the cohorts that are actually winning, and send only picks we're betting ourselves.

We want you to win. And we'll tell you straight when we don't.

Every bet is still a bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Questions

Straight answers.

Is your record real?
Every pick is on our record page with the time we posted it, the odds and the result. Check it yourself. That's the point.
If I follow your picks, will I make money?
Nobody honest can promise that. Your results depend on the odds you get, how much you bet and plain variance, and you can lose money. Past results don't guarantee future results.
Why so few picks?
We'd rather send you two picks we'd bet our own money on than two hundred we wouldn't.
Do you take bets?
No. We sell picks and analysis. We're not a sportsbook and we don't accept wagers.
All questions →

The Short List.

21+.